2024
Democratic
Kamala Harris34.47%
Republican
Donald Trump64.19%
Two-party margin
R+29.7
State hub
Tennessee State Hub
U.S. Senate and House delegation, state governor, Census demographic snapshot (income, poverty, diversity, tax burden rank), presidential voting history, and links to live coverage, notable races, and the national map.
Key links for Tennessee
Census demographic snapshot
U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2022 5-year (B01003, B19013, B01001, B03003, B03002; DP03 selected social characteristics); change vs ACS 2017 5-year population (B01003).
Population
6,923,772
Rank 16 of 51 · 1 = largest population
ACS 5-year total
Population density
167.9 people/sq mi
Rank 21 of 51 · 1 = densest
ACS population ÷ Census land area (square miles)
Pop. change (17→22)
+4.9%
Rank 14 of 51 · 1 = fastest growth
ACS total population comparison
Female / male
50.9% / 49.1%
Share of total population
Median household income
$64,035
Rank 42 of 51 · 1 = highest median income
Below poverty
14%
Rank 41 of 51 · 1 = lowest poverty rate
ACS profile, all people
Hispanic or Latino
6%
Any race
White (NH)
72.6%
Not Hispanic or Latino
Black (NH)
16.1%
Asian (NH)
1.8%
AIAN (NH)
0.1%
American Indian & Alaska Native alone
Two+ races (NH)
3%
Census metric ranks compare all jurisdictions in this snapshot (typically 50 states plus D.C.). Race and ethnicity categories follow Census definitions (e.g., Hispanic origin is asked separately from race). Percentages are shares of total population and may not sum to 100% because of rounding or other groups. State–local tax burden is not a Census figure; see the Tax Foundation link below for 50-state + D.C. rankings (1 = lowest aggregate burden).
Why this state votes this way
Demographics and long-run trends that commonly shape coverage and turnout narratives.
Tennessee's Census profile summarizes population scale, sex composition, race and Hispanic origin, and household income—baseline conditions analysts pair with polling and election returns when they discuss coalitions and regional turnout.
What often shows up in coverage
- Solid population growth (near 4.9% over 2017–2022) usually enlarges the universe of persuadable and newly registered voters, especially around expanding metros.
- A double-digit poverty rate (14%) highlights inequality and service-delivery pressures that often shape platform contrast and local organizing narratives.
- Demographic profile at a glance: White, non-Hispanic residents are about 72.6% of the population in this ACS snapshot, a baseline often used to frame coalition math and statewide messaging priorities.
These indicators are descriptive context for understanding electoral environments—they do not predict vote shares, winners, or partisan realignment.
Presidential voting history
How Tennessee has voted in two-party presidential general elections on this site: Democratic and Republican nominees with vote shares, and approximate two-party margin (who carried the state follows from the margin).
Context & notes
Southern state that leans Republican in presidential races, with Nashville’s growth and Memphis anchoring Democratic strength.
- Music City’s suburban growth has drawn national attention as a demographic trend line.
Results by year
2020
Democratic
Joe Biden37.45%
Republican
Donald Trump60.66%
Two-party margin
R+23.2
2016
Democratic
Hillary Clinton34.72%
Republican
Donald Trump60.72%
Two-party margin
R+26.0
2012
Democratic
Barack Obama39.08%
Republican
Mitt Romney59.48%
Two-party margin
R+20.4
2008
Democratic
Barack Obama41.83%
Republican
John McCain56.90%
Two-party margin
R+15.1
2004
Democratic
John Kerry42.53%
Republican
George W. Bush56.80%
Two-party margin
R+14.3
2000
Democratic
Al Gore47.28%
Republican
George W. Bush51.15%
Two-party margin
R+3.9
1996
Democratic
Bill Clinton48.00%
Republican
Bob Dole45.59%
Two-party margin
D+2.4
1992
Democratic
Bill Clinton47.08%
Republican
George H. W. Bush42.43%
Two-party margin
D+4.6
1988
Democratic
Michael Dukakis41.55%
Republican
George H. W. Bush57.89%
Two-party margin
R+16.3
1984
Democratic
Walter Mondale41.57%
Republican
Ronald Reagan57.84%
Two-party margin
R+16.3
1980
Democratic
Jimmy Carter48.41%
Republican
Ronald Reagan48.70%
Two-party margin
R+0.3
Percentages are major-party shares from this site's state data. Margins use those shares; third-party votes can make totals differ from the national popular vote. This is historical context, not a forecast.
Notable races involving Tennessee
No seeded race cards are available for Tennessee yet. Check back as coverage expands.
U.S. Congress (Tennessee)
119th CongressU.S. Senate
Caucus split
0D:2R
Marsha BlackburnRSenior senator
Mary Marsha Blackburn is an American politician and businesswoman serving as the senior United States senator from Tennessee.
Bill HagertyRJunior senator
William Francis Hagerty IV is an American politician, businessman, and diplomat serving as the junior United States senator from Tennessee since 2021.
U.S. House delegation
Post-2024 election delegation totals (Wikipedia / Ballotpedia–style snapshot for the 119th Congress).
Seat split
1D:8R
Governor
Chief executive of Tennessee's state government (separate from the U.S. Congress above).
Bill LeeR
Governor
William Byron Lee is an American businessman and politician who has served as the 50th governor of Tennessee since 2019.