2024
Democratic
Kamala Harris46.69%
Republican
Donald Trump52.22%
Two-party margin
R+5.5
State hub
Arizona State Hub
U.S. Senate and House delegation, state governor, Census demographic snapshot (income, poverty, diversity, tax burden rank), presidential voting history, and links to live coverage, notable races, and the national map.
Key links for Arizona
Census demographic snapshot
U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2022 5-year (B01003, B19013, B01001, B03003, B03002; DP03 selected social characteristics); change vs ACS 2017 5-year population (B01003).
Population
7,172,282
Rank 14 of 51 · 1 = largest population
ACS 5-year total
Population density
63.1 people/sq mi
Rank 33 of 51 · 1 = densest
ACS population ÷ Census land area (square miles)
Pop. change (17→22)
+5.3%
Rank 9 of 51 · 1 = fastest growth
ACS total population comparison
Female / male
50% / 50%
Share of total population
Median household income
$72,581
Rank 24 of 51 · 1 = highest median income
Below poverty
13.1%
Rank 34 of 51 · 1 = lowest poverty rate
ACS profile, all people
Hispanic or Latino
32%
Any race
White (NH)
53%
Not Hispanic or Latino
Black (NH)
4.3%
Asian (NH)
3.3%
AIAN (NH)
3.5%
American Indian & Alaska Native alone
Two+ races (NH)
3.4%
Census metric ranks compare all jurisdictions in this snapshot (typically 50 states plus D.C.). Race and ethnicity categories follow Census definitions (e.g., Hispanic origin is asked separately from race). Percentages are shares of total population and may not sum to 100% because of rounding or other groups. State–local tax burden is not a Census figure; see the Tax Foundation link below for 50-state + D.C. rankings (1 = lowest aggregate burden).
Why this state votes this way
Demographics and long-run trends that commonly shape coverage and turnout narratives.
Arizona's Census profile summarizes population scale, sex composition, race and Hispanic origin, and household income—baseline conditions analysts pair with polling and election returns when they discuss coalitions and regional turnout.
What often shows up in coverage
- Solid population growth (near 5.3% over 2017–2022) usually enlarges the universe of persuadable and newly registered voters, especially around expanding metros.
- A large Hispanic or Latino share (32% here) typically elevates culturally competent outreach, Spanish-language media, and economic themes that resonate across diverse Latino communities in public framing.
- Demographic profile at a glance: White, non-Hispanic residents are about 53% of the population in this ACS snapshot, a baseline often used to frame coalition math and statewide messaging priorities.
These indicators are descriptive context for understanding electoral environments—they do not predict vote shares, winners, or partisan realignment.
Presidential voting history
How Arizona has voted in two-party presidential general elections on this site: Democratic and Republican nominees with vote shares, and approximate two-party margin (who carried the state follows from the margin).
Context & notes
Former conservative stronghold that has become more competitive as Phoenix’s suburbs diversify and Latino civic participation grows.
- Immigration, water, and growth politics often sit alongside national themes in presidential-year coverage.
- Some statewide races still run ahead of or behind presidential baselines—split-ticket patterns get a lot of press attention.
Results by year
2020
Democratic
Joe Biden49.36%
Republican
Donald Trump49.06%
Two-party margin
D+0.3
2016
Democratic
Hillary Clinton45.13%
Republican
Donald Trump48.67%
Two-party margin
R+3.5
2012
Democratic
Barack Obama44.59%
Republican
Mitt Romney53.65%
Two-party margin
R+9.1
2008
Democratic
Barack Obama45.12%
Republican
John McCain53.64%
Two-party margin
R+8.5
2004
Democratic
John Kerry44.40%
Republican
George W. Bush54.87%
Two-party margin
R+10.5
2000
Democratic
Al Gore44.73%
Republican
George W. Bush51.02%
Two-party margin
R+6.3
1996
Democratic
Bill Clinton46.52%
Republican
Bob Dole44.29%
Two-party margin
D+2.2
1992
Democratic
Bill Clinton36.52%
Republican
George H. W. Bush38.47%
Two-party margin
R+1.9
1988
Democratic
Michael Dukakis38.74%
Republican
George H. W. Bush59.95%
Two-party margin
R+21.2
1984
Democratic
Walter Mondale32.54%
Republican
Ronald Reagan66.42%
Two-party margin
R+33.9
1980
Democratic
Jimmy Carter28.24%
Republican
Ronald Reagan60.61%
Two-party margin
R+32.4
Percentages are major-party shares from this site's state data. Margins use those shares; third-party votes can make totals differ from the national popular vote. This is historical context, not a forecast.
Notable races involving Arizona
No seeded race cards are available for Arizona yet. Check back as coverage expands.
U.S. Congress (Arizona)
119th CongressU.S. Senate
Caucus split
2D:0R
Mark KellyDSenior senator
Mark Edward Kelly is an American politician and a retired astronaut and naval officer.
Ruben GallegoDJunior senator
Rubén Marinelarena Gallego is an American politician serving since 2025 as the junior United States senator from Arizona.
U.S. House delegation
Post-2024 election delegation totals (Wikipedia / Ballotpedia–style snapshot for the 119th Congress).
Seat split
3D:6R
Governor
Chief executive of Arizona's state government (separate from the U.S. Congress above).
Katie HobbsD
Governor
Kathleen Marie Hobbs is an American politician serving since 2023 as the 24th governor of Arizona.