Race details
Arizona Governor Republican Primary
Candidates
Odds last updated May 2nd, 10:45 PM
Andy Biggs (R)
~96.9% chance to win
Eastern Arizona congressman and former House Freedom Caucus chair; runs as the Trump-endorsed conservative alternative to the Hobbs administration.
Vote totals pending
David Schweikert (R)
~1.4% chance to win
Phoenix-area congressman and former state treasurer; stresses budget hawk credentials and survival in purple suburban terrain.
Vote totals pending
Why this race matters
The GOP nominee will face Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs in November. After housing developer Karrin Taylor Robson suspended her campaign, the race consolidated around two U.S. representatives: Freedom Caucus-aligned Andy Biggs with Donald Trump’s endorsement, versus Phoenix-area fiscal conservative David Schweikert, who has repeatedly won competitive suburban districts. The outcome tests MAGA strength against a more establishment-conservative lane in a premier swing state.