2024
Democratic
Kamala Harris42.46%
Republican
Donald Trump56.14%
Two-party margin
R+13.7
State hub
Texas State Hub
U.S. Senate and House delegation, state governor, Census demographic snapshot (income, poverty, diversity, tax burden rank), presidential voting history, and links to live coverage, notable races, and the national map.
Key links for Texas
Census demographic snapshot
U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2022 5-year (B01003, B19013, B01001, B03003, B03002; DP03 selected social characteristics); change vs ACS 2017 5-year population (B01003).
Population
29,243,342
Rank 2 of 51 · 1 = largest population
ACS 5-year total
Population density
111.9 people/sq mi
Rank 25 of 51 · 1 = densest
ACS population ÷ Census land area (square miles)
Pop. change (17→22)
+6.7%
Rank 5 of 51 · 1 = fastest growth
ACS total population comparison
Female / male
50% / 50%
Share of total population
Median household income
$73,035
Rank 23 of 51 · 1 = highest median income
Below poverty
13.9%
Rank 40 of 51 · 1 = lowest poverty rate
ACS profile, all people
Hispanic or Latino
39.9%
Any race
White (NH)
40.1%
Not Hispanic or Latino
Black (NH)
11.8%
Asian (NH)
5.1%
AIAN (NH)
0.2%
American Indian & Alaska Native alone
Two+ races (NH)
2.6%
Census metric ranks compare all jurisdictions in this snapshot (typically 50 states plus D.C.). Race and ethnicity categories follow Census definitions (e.g., Hispanic origin is asked separately from race). Percentages are shares of total population and may not sum to 100% because of rounding or other groups. State–local tax burden is not a Census figure; see the Tax Foundation link below for 50-state + D.C. rankings (1 = lowest aggregate burden).
Why this state votes this way
Demographics and long-run trends that commonly shape coverage and turnout narratives.
Texas's Census profile summarizes population scale, sex composition, race and Hispanic origin, and household income—baseline conditions analysts pair with polling and election returns when they discuss coalitions and regional turnout.
What often shows up in coverage
- Solid population growth (near 6.7% over 2017–2022) usually enlarges the universe of persuadable and newly registered voters, especially around expanding metros.
- A large Hispanic or Latino share (39.9% here) typically elevates culturally competent outreach, Spanish-language media, and economic themes that resonate across diverse Latino communities in public framing.
- With no single group holding an overwhelming demographic majority, observers often describe multi-ethnic coalition-building as central to statewide narratives—even though many other factors still decide outcomes.
- Demographic profile at a glance: White, non-Hispanic residents are about 40.1% of the population in this ACS snapshot, a baseline often used to frame coalition math and statewide messaging priorities.
These indicators are descriptive context for understanding electoral environments—they do not predict vote shares, winners, or partisan realignment.
How this context is used
Texas combines large metro growth with substantial rural coverage needs, so statewide races often depend on both urban turnout volume and regional coalition breadth.
These indicators are educational context for understanding turnout environments and campaign strategy. They are not deterministic predictors of who will win.
Profile updated: March 27th
Demographic context
30.8M
Estimated population, July 1, 2024 (Census Bureau state totals; rounded)
~5.8%
Estimated population change, April 1, 2020–July 1, 2024 (Census Bureau state estimates; rounded)
Texas remains one of the country’s largest and fastest-growing states, with migration and natural increase shaping the electorate.
Why it matters: Fast-changing population composition can shift where campaigns allocate field operations, media spend, and issue targeting.
Limitations: Population growth alone does not indicate turnout rates, party preference, or final election outcomes.
Source: State Population Totals and Components of Change (U.S. Census Bureau) · Vintage: 2020s population estimates
39.8%
Hispanic or Latino (of any race), July 1, 2023 estimate (U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts)
24.8%
Persons under 18 years, July 1, 2023 estimate (QuickFacts)
Texas has a highly diverse population across race, ethnicity, age, and language profiles.
Why it matters: Campaign outreach, ballot access messaging, and coalition-building usually vary by region and community demographics.
Limitations: Demographic diversity does not map one-to-one to candidate support; context and candidate quality still matter.
Source: Texas QuickFacts (U.S. Census Bureau) · Vintage: QuickFacts and ACS snapshots
83.7%
Share of population living in urban areas (2020 Census urban–rural classification)
Texas includes major urban metros and expansive non-metro regions, creating different turnout and issue environments.
Why it matters: Statewide candidates often need both metro vote margins and sufficient performance in non-metro areas.
Limitations: Urban-rural geography is only one lens and should not be used as a standalone predictor.
Source: 2020 Census Urban and Rural Classification (U.S. Census Bureau) · Vintage: 2020 urban-rural classification
~17.9M
Approx. citizen voting-age population, 2020 Census CVAP (rounded; use Census CVAP tables for published totals)
Citizen voting age population (CVAP) is a better electorate baseline than total population for election context.
Why it matters: CVAP helps frame who can potentially vote, improving interpretation of turnout and participation narratives.
Limitations: Eligibility is not turnout; CVAP does not account for registration or election-day participation behavior.
Source: Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP) Special Tabulation (U.S. Census Bureau) · Vintage: CVAP special tabulation
Presidential voting history
How Texas has voted in two-party presidential general elections on this site: Democratic and Republican nominees with vote shares, and approximate two-party margin (who carried the state follows from the margin).
Context & notes
Massive Republican-tilting state that Democrats hope to compete in long term as metros diversify and suburbs shift.
- Houston, Dallas–Fort Worth, Austin, and the border region are central to coalition stories.
- Energy and immigration policy are perennial headline themes.
Results by year
2020
Democratic
Joe Biden46.48%
Republican
Donald Trump52.06%
Two-party margin
R+5.6
2016
Democratic
Hillary Clinton43.24%
Republican
Donald Trump52.23%
Two-party margin
R+9.0
2012
Democratic
Barack Obama41.38%
Republican
Mitt Romney57.17%
Two-party margin
R+15.8
2008
Democratic
Barack Obama43.68%
Republican
John McCain55.45%
Two-party margin
R+11.8
2004
Democratic
John Kerry38.22%
Republican
George W. Bush61.09%
Two-party margin
R+22.9
2000
Democratic
Al Gore37.98%
Republican
George W. Bush59.30%
Two-party margin
R+21.3
1996
Democratic
Bill Clinton43.83%
Republican
Bob Dole48.76%
Two-party margin
R+4.9
1992
Democratic
Bill Clinton37.08%
Republican
George H. W. Bush40.56%
Two-party margin
R+3.5
1988
Democratic
Michael Dukakis43.35%
Republican
George H. W. Bush55.95%
Two-party margin
R+12.6
1984
Democratic
Walter Mondale36.11%
Republican
Ronald Reagan63.61%
Two-party margin
R+27.5
1980
Democratic
Jimmy Carter41.42%
Republican
Ronald Reagan55.28%
Two-party margin
R+13.9
Percentages are major-party shares from this site's state data. Margins use those shares; third-party votes can make totals differ from the national popular vote. This is historical context, not a forecast.
Notable races involving Texas
U.S. Congress (Texas)
119th CongressU.S. Senate
Caucus split
0D:2R
John CornynRSenior senator
John Cornyn III is an American politician and former judge who is the senior United States senator from Texas, a seat he has held since 2002.
Ted CruzRJunior senator
Rafael Edward Cruz is an American politician and attorney serving as the junior United States senator from Texas since 2013.
U.S. House delegation
Post-2024 election delegation totals (Wikipedia / Ballotpedia–style snapshot for the 119th Congress).
Seat split
13D:25R
Governor
Chief executive of Texas's state government (separate from the U.S. Congress above).
Greg AbbottR
Governor
Gregory Wayne Abbott is an American politician, attorney, and jurist who has served since 2015 as the 48th governor of Texas.