Race details
Texas U.S. Senate Democratic Primary
Candidates
James Talarico (D)
State representative pitching generational change and a broader general-election message in a high-profile statewide debut.
1,212,571 votes · 52.4%
Jasmine Crockett (D)
Dallas congresswoman with a national profile; runs as the progressive favorite with strong small-dollar support.
1,068,387 votes · 46.2%
Ahmad Hassan (D)
Perennial candidate and businessman; long-shot bid that consolidated only a sliver of the primary vote.
31,010 votes · 1.3%
Why this race matters
Marquee Democratic matchup: Crockett could appeal more to primary voters but would have a harder time winning a general election; Talarico is betting on broader appeal. The winner faces the GOP primary winner in a state that could become more competitive if Republicans nominate Paxton. The race also serves as a test of whether AIPAC-backed candidates are hurt by that sponsorship with Crockett being backed by AIPAC.
How this context is used
The Democratic primary occurred in the same statewide demographic environment, where turnout and coalition breadth both matter.
These indicators are educational context for understanding turnout environments and campaign strategy. They are not deterministic predictors of who will win.
Profile updated: March 27th
Demographic context
39.8%
Hispanic or Latino share, July 1, 2023 (QuickFacts)
24.8%
Persons under 18 years, July 1, 2023 (QuickFacts)
Texas has a diverse electorate profile that often requires targeted outreach by region and community.
Why it matters: Campaigns that align messaging with local context can improve contact and turnout efficiency.
Limitations: Demographic alignment does not ensure persuasion or turnout conversion.
Source: Texas QuickFacts (U.S. Census Bureau) · Vintage: QuickFacts and ACS snapshots
~17.9M
Approx. statewide CVAP, 2020 Census CVAP (rounded; see Census methodology)
Citizen voting age population context is useful when interpreting turnout in statewide primaries.
Why it matters: CVAP provides a more election-relevant baseline than total population.
Limitations: CVAP does not include registration status or likely-voter propensity.
Source: Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP) Special Tabulation (U.S. Census Bureau) · Vintage: CVAP special tabulation