Race details

Alaska U.S. Senate

November 3rdAlaskatoo early

Candidates

Odds last updated September 7th, 7:41 PM

  • Mary Peltola portrait

    Mary Peltola (D)

    65% chance to win

    Former House member and first Alaska Native in Congress; blends center-left policy with a rural, working-class focus and led the primary field.

    Vote totals pending

  • Dan Sullivan portrait

    Dan Sullivan (R)

    Incumbent

    36% chance to win

    Two-term senator and Marine; stresses defense, Arctic strategy, and resource development, but trailed Peltola in the all-party primary.

    Vote totals pending

Why this race matters

Alaska's August 18 top-four open primary set up a ranked-choice general election. Former U.S. Representative Mary Peltola (D) actually led incumbent Dan Sullivan (R) in the primary, an ominous sign for the two-term Republican. Peltola, the first Alaska Native in Congress, is the only Democrat to win statewide in Alaska since 2008; Senator Lisa Murkowski has endorsed Sullivan.