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US Election Tracker

Alaska

Alaska U.S. Senate

November 3rdToo early to call

Candidates

Odds last updated October 22nd, 9:26 PM ET

  • Mary Peltola portrait

    Mary Peltola (D)

    74.5% chance to win

    Former House member and first Alaska Native in Congress; blends center-left policy with a rural, working-class focus and led the primary field.

    Vote totals pending

  • Dan Sullivan portrait

    Dan Sullivan (R)

    Incumbent

    25.5% chance to win

    Two-term senator and Marine; stresses defense, Arctic strategy, and resource development, but trailed Peltola in the all-party primary.

    Vote totals pending

Why this race matters

Alaska's August 18 top-four open primary set up a ranked-choice general election. Former U.S. Representative Mary Peltola (D) actually led incumbent Dan Sullivan (R) in the primary, an ominous sign for the two-term Republican. Peltola, the first Alaska Native in Congress, is the only Democrat to win statewide in Alaska since 2008; Senator Lisa Murkowski has endorsed Sullivan.