Florida
Florida Governor
Candidates
Odds last updated October 22nd, 5:33 PM ET
Byron Donalds (R)
80.5% chance to win
Southwest Florida congressman with President Trump's endorsement; won the GOP primary to succeed DeSantis and inherit the 'Florida Blueprint.'
Vote totals pending
David Jolly (D)
19.5% chance to win
Former Republican congressman from the Tampa Bay area now running as a Democrat; centers his campaign on housing costs, property insurance, and affordability.
Vote totals pending
Why this race matters
Open seat with Governor Ron DeSantis term-limited. Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds won the August 18 Republican primary and faces Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican congressman turned Democrat running on affordability and insurance costs. Republicans are favored in a state that has trended red, but Jolly is testing a crossover message.